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Data Centers and AI: A Surge in Electricity Demand by 2030
2025-04-18

A recent report from the International Energy Agency (IEA) highlights a significant rise in electricity consumption attributed to data centers and artificial intelligence advancements. By 2030, global demand for electricity from data centers is expected to soar to approximately 945 terawatt-hours (TWh), representing an increase of nearly 128% from their usage in 2024. The United States will be at the forefront of this surge, with its data centers anticipated to consume about 240 TWh by the end of the decade. Despite this growth, data centers will account for less than 3% of the world's total electricity consumption in 2030. However, the report also underscores the potential role of artificial intelligence in enhancing energy efficiency and operations.

The IEA’s “Energy and AI” report forecasts that artificial intelligence will significantly drive the escalating power needs of data centers globally. In particular, AI-optimized facilities are projected to experience a more than fourfold increase in electricity demand by 2030. This trend is especially pronounced in the U.S., where data centers are expected to contribute nearly half of the worldwide doubling of power demands driven by these facilities. David Naylor, President and CEO of Rayburn Electric Cooperative, has expressed concerns regarding the potential strain on the power grid caused by burgeoning data centers and crypto miners.

Despite the growing demand, renewable energy sources are poised to meet nearly half of the additional requirements, followed by natural gas and coal. Notably, nuclear energy is anticipated to play an increasingly important role as small modular reactors come online around 2030. These advanced reactors promise to generate substantial low-carbon electricity while being physically smaller than traditional models. The IEA predicts that after 2030, renewables and small modular reactors will reduce the reliance on natural gas, ensuring that low-emission sources account for over half of the U.S.'s data center electricity supply mix by 2035.

Moreover, the report emphasizes the transformative impact of artificial intelligence on the energy sector. Companies are already leveraging AI technologies to enhance supply chain optimization, improve electricity generation and transmission, and promote efficient energy consumption. These efforts aim to achieve multiple objectives, such as reducing operational costs, extending asset lifetimes, minimizing downtime, and lowering carbon emissions. As the adoption of AI continues to grow, it offers promising solutions for mitigating the environmental impact associated with increased data center activities.

In conclusion, the anticipated rise in electricity consumption due to data centers and AI represents both a challenge and an opportunity for the energy sector. While the demand for power is set to increase substantially, advancements in renewable energy and AI-driven efficiencies offer viable pathways to address these challenges sustainably. The integration of innovative technologies like small modular reactors further supports a transition towards cleaner and more reliable energy sources, paving the way for a balanced and environmentally conscious future.

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