A recent study highlights that individuals born into low-income families in Utah still have a notable chance of surpassing their parents' earnings compared to those born elsewhere. However, younger generations in Utah experienced a decline in this upward mobility. Economist Raj Chetty, from Harvard University, noted the state's positive standing regarding economic progress but pointed out significant generational disparities. Through an analysis by Opportunity Insights and the U.S. Census Bureau, it was found that location plays a crucial role in one's ability to ascend economically. Despite racial divides, there are encouraging signs of progress, especially among Latino and Black populations.
Economist Raj Chetty presented findings on intergenerational mobility during a seminar hosted by the Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute. His team utilized anonymized data from the U.S. Census Bureau and Internal Revenue Service to track millions of Americans from childhood into adulthood. By comparing average household incomes at age 27 for individuals born in 1978 and 1992, researchers identified localized shifts in opportunities over time. Although millennials experienced less upward mobility than Generation X, Utah remains a leader in single-generation advancement. For example, children born in 1992 achieved an average income of $36,100 at age 27, representing a substantial improvement despite an 8.4% drop from the previous generation.
Notably, certain demographics within Utah showed promising trends. Hispanic or Latino and Black residents born in 1992 demonstrated greater gains compared to their 1978 counterparts, although their earnings still lag behind white peers. County-specific data revealed mixed results; while most areas saw declines, Sanpete and Millard counties experienced modest improvements. Conversely, regions heavily reliant on fossil-fuel industries, such as Carbon, Duchesne, and Uintah counties, faced significant setbacks due to reduced parental employment rates among peer groups.
Chetty identified four key factors contributing to high economic mobility: lower poverty levels, increased family stability, improved K-12 education and access to higher learning, and enhanced social capital across economic classes. He advocated for solutions like Housing Choice Vouchers, which assist families in relocating to neighborhoods with better opportunities. Programs implemented in Seattle successfully boosted career earnings for participating children by $200,000 or more. Additionally, place-based investments aimed at revitalizing impoverished areas can foster meaningful interactions between diverse socioeconomic groups.
In conclusion, while Utah continues to rank highly in terms of economic mobility, addressing generational declines requires strategic interventions. Expanding access to higher education and workforce training is essential, as children from low-income backgrounds often face barriers despite possessing equivalent academic potential. Chetty emphasized that fostering opportunity in one area does not diminish prospects elsewhere—it instead contributes to overall growth. Personal testimonies, like that of Utah Speaker of the House Mike Schultz, underscore the importance of mentorship and integration in creating pathways for success among underprivileged communities.