Agriculture
3 December 2024: Soybean, Wheat & Ice Storm Updates
2024-12-13
In the world of commodities trading, the overnight trading of soybean futures and the outlook for wheat shipments play crucial roles. Let's delve into the details.
Uncover the Hidden Trends in Agricultural Markets
Soybean Futures: A Tale of Overnight Changes
Soybean futures experienced a downward trend in overnight trading. Disappointing export sales were the main culprit. According to the Department of Agriculture, sales of U.S. beans in the seven days ending on Dec. 5 totaled 1.17 million metric tons. This is a significant drop of 49% from the previous week and 42% from the prior four-week average. China emerged as the big buyer, purchasing 705,000 tons. Spain and Mexico also made notable purchases, with 245,800 tons and 156,500 tons respectively. However, it's not all doom and gloom on the export front. Since the start of the marketing year on Sept. 1, overseas buyers have agreed to purchase 37.3 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans, showing a 12% year-over-year increase. Soybean futures for January delivery fell 4¢ to $9.92 a bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade. Soymeal also saw a decline, losing $2.10 to $287.40 a short ton. On the other hand, soybean oil managed to gain 0.12¢ to 42.79¢ a pound.Wheat Shipments: Russia and EU's Impact
The Ag Department's monthly wheat outlook report predicts a significant jump in U.S. wheat exports year over year. Due to weaker exports from Russia and the European Union, shipments of the grain are likely to total 850 million bushels in the 2024-2025 marketing year ending on May 31. This is an increase from the previous outlook of 825 million bushels and well ahead of the previous year's 707 million bushels. From June through October, wheat exports were reported at 366 million bushels, a 35% increase from the same timeframe last year. The average farm price for wheat is $5.60 based on preces reported to the USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) and expectations for prices through the end of May. Despite futures prices declining slightly due to improvements in winter wheat conditions, global ending stocks are still projected at a nine-year low.Ice Storm Warning: East-Central Iowa's Challenge
A rare ice storm warning has been issued for several counties in east-central Iowa. The National Weather Service predicts "significant icing" starting at midnight tonight and lasting until 3 p.m. Saturday. Accumulations of two tenths to three tenths of an inch are possible, and winds will gust up to 30 mph during the freezing rain, which could lead to falling tree branches. However, the good news is that forecasters expect temperatures to rise rapidly from south to north late Saturday morning, helping to melt the ice quickly once the rain ends. Winter weather advisories have also been issued for the rest of Iowa and parts of several other states, including Nebraska, Kansas, Missouri, Illinois, Minnesota, and a sliver of South Dakota. In eastern Nebraska and western Iowa, mixed precipitation is forecast, with ice and snow falling. Snow and ice are expected to begin mid-Friday and last until early Saturday morning.