As we approach the end of the week and the week of Thanksgiving, a significant weather change is on the horizon across the United States. Colder temperatures are set to settle in, marking a departure from the recent mild conditions. This shift will have implications for various aspects, from livestock management to agricultural activities and holiday travel.

Brace for the Weather Shift - Thanksgiving and Beyond

Risk for Frigid Temps

According to the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), certain areas in the Northern Plains are at a high risk of experiencing temperatures dipping to -10° Fahrenheit, with even lower wind chill values. Livestock owners in these regions are advised to take proactive measures and closely monitor the weather forecast. Interestingly, colder air temperatures also have a positive side. They lower soil temperatures, which can be beneficial for effective nitrogen application. When the temperatures are sub-50° but still above freezing, it helps retain nitrogen in the field for the next spring.

This contrast between the challenges posed by frigid temperatures and the potential benefits for agriculture showcases the complexity of weather patterns and their impact on different sectors.

Precipitation Outlook

Across the Midwest, especially in the Ohio Valley, there is an above-average chance of precipitation during the Thanksgiving week. This is due to a low pressure system taking hold. While this is good news for improving drought conditions in the Midwest and places with extreme drought like South Dakota and Ohio, it's a stark contrast to the dry conditions in October. In southern Illinois and Missouri, which were wet from heavy rains earlier in November, this shift from one extreme to the other is a pattern that has been noticed in the past couple of years.

The varying precipitation levels across different regions highlight the need for careful monitoring and adaptation to changing weather conditions.

Thanksgiving Travel

The CPC has issued a 20%–40% chance of heavy snowfall in the Great Lakes region and Interior Northeast from Nov. 27 to Dec. 3. This poses potential issues for Thanksgiving travel, especially air travel. The American Automobile Association (AAA) predicts a record 80 million Americans will be on the move during the holiday. While it's difficult to predict with certainty, there is a possibility of snowfall in the upper Midwest during the Thanksgiving week.

Staying updated on the shifting weather conditions is crucial for ensuring a safe and smooth travel experience during this holiday season.