As the agricultural season progresses, soybean emergence across the United States is gaining momentum. With 15 of the 18 top soybean-producing states reporting emergence by May 4, 2025, according to the USDA's Crop Progress report, the national crop emergence rate stands at 7%. This figure surpasses the five-year average of 5% but lags slightly behind last year's 8%. The report highlights varying conditions in key states like Michigan, North Dakota, and South Dakota, where emergence has yet to occur due to weather-related challenges.
In Michigan, despite favorable planting progress, no soybean seedlings have emerged as of early May. Cooler soil temperatures and inconsistent weather have delayed growth, although recent improvements suggest a positive outlook for the coming weeks. Similarly, North Dakota farmers have not observed any emergence yet, with planting ahead of schedule but still awaiting warmer conditions. In South Dakota, progress mirrors that of its northern neighbor, with planting progressing but no signs of emergence. Meanwhile, other regions, particularly southern states, are leading the charge in terms of soybean emergence rates.
Moving to Michigan, local experts remain optimistic about the upcoming growing season. Eric Anderson from Michigan State University Extension notes that while emergence has been slow, recent shifts in temperature may accelerate plant development. "Even if planting occurred back in mid-April, we’re just now reaching the ideal growing days needed for emergence," Anderson stated. Warmer conditions forecasted in the coming weeks should significantly boost emergence numbers.
North Dakota presents a different scenario, where planting is ahead of the historical average despite no reported emergence. Farmers have capitalized on suitable fieldwork days, ensuring a solid foundation for future growth. As temperatures rise, emergence is anticipated to commence shortly, aligning with typical seasonal patterns.
In South Dakota, a quarter of the soybean crop has already been planted, outpacing historical averages. However, emergence remains pending due to lingering cool soil conditions. Farmers continue to monitor developments closely, expecting favorable weather trends to support plant development soon.
Beyond these states, the broader picture reveals significant disparities in soybean emergence rates. Southern states such as Louisiana, Mississippi, and Arkansas lead the nation, reflecting their advantageous climate conditions. Conversely, Midwest states like Indiana and Ohio face slight delays compared to their usual pace. North Carolina stands out as an outlier, achieving above-average emergence levels.
Looking forward, the next USDA report is expected to reflect notable improvements in soybean emergence rates across all regions. As weather conditions stabilize and temperatures rise, farmers nationwide anticipate a productive growing season ahead.