President Trump's newly announced tariffs could significantly impact Amazon's profit margins. Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan warns that the tech giant might experience an annualized operating profit loss ranging from $5 billion to $10 billion due to higher merchandise costs. These tariffs, which affect a substantial portion of imported goods, could lead to a 15% to 20% surge in Amazon’s US merchandise expenses. Investors remain concerned about the financial implications of these reciprocal tariffs on Amazon and other major retailers like Walmart and Target. Despite stock declines following the tariff announcement, Sheridan maintains a positive outlook, suggesting potential strategies for Amazon to mitigate these challenges.
The implementation of President Trump's tariffs is expected to bring about significant changes in the operational profits of Amazon. Analysts predict that the company may face an annualized operating profit reduction between $5 billion and $10 billion as a direct result of increased first-party merchandise costs. This increase stems from the estimated 15% to 20% jump in US merchandise costs, assuming no mitigating actions such as cost reductions or vendor renegotiations occur.
These tariffs come as part of a broader trade strategy initiated by the administration, with initial rates set at 10%, rising to higher levels for certain countries deemed major trade violators. China, for instance, faces a reciprocal tariff rate of 34%, adding to existing duties and resulting in a total rate of 54%. The retaliatory measures taken by China further complicate the situation, imposing similar tariffs on US products. Consequently, Amazon's stock has seen a nearly 7% decline post-tariff announcement, reflecting investor concerns over potential financial repercussions.
In response to the looming tariff-induced challenges, Amazon could adopt various strategies to cushion its financial impact. According to Eric Sheridan, these include negotiating terms with vendors to share the burden of increased input costs, adjusting prices for specific items sold to customers, and shifting product mixes towards those facing lower tariffs or domestic alternatives.
Sheridan's optimism regarding Amazon's ability to navigate this turbulent period is reflected in his Buy rating and a $255 price target, indicating a potential 43% upside from current market levels. By engaging in strategic negotiations, Amazon can avoid absorbing all additional costs independently. Adjusting pricing structures selectively ensures that customer satisfaction remains unaffected while maintaining profitability. Furthermore, reorienting their sourcing strategies toward less affected regions or domestically produced goods could help stabilize costs and enhance long-term resilience against future tariff fluctuations. Such proactive measures position Amazon favorably amidst uncertain global trade dynamics.