Agriculture
"3 November 2024: Grain, Red Meat & Snow Updates"
2024-11-22
In the world of commodities, various markets are constantly in flux. Today, we bring you the latest updates on grain, soybean, and red meat markets. These sectors play a crucial role in global agriculture and trade, and staying informed is essential for investors and industry professionals alike.
Stay Ahead in the Commodity Markets
Grain and Soybean Futures: A Balancing Act
Grain and soybean futures witnessed little change overnight. Investors are carefully weighing the favorable South American weather against the signs of demand for U.S. agricultural products. The Commodity Weather Group noted that rain in the short term and again after the break next week is keeping most of northern Brazil stable. Weather models suggest precipitation in parts of southern Brazil and Paraguay, which could offer relief from dry conditions. However, disappointing showers will stress soybeans in a quarter of southern Brazil and two-thirds of Paraguay.Prices are being supported by strong demand for U.S. grains and beans. Corn sales to overseas buyers rose 14% week over week to 1.49 million metric tons, with Mexico, Japan, and Colombia among the biggest buyers. Soybean sales were up 20% to 1.86 million metric tons, as China, Mexico, and the Netherlands all made large purchases. Wheat sales last week totaled 549,600 metric tons, up 45% from the previous week, with South Korea, Indonesia, and Japan among the buyers. Exporters also reported sales of 198,000 metric tons of soybeans to China, 135,000 tons of soybeans to an unnamed country, and 133,000 tons of soybean meal to the Philippines for the 2024/2025 marketing year that started on Sept. 1.On the Chicago Board of Trade, December corn futures were up 1½¢ to $4.37¾ a bushel overnight. January soybean futures fell 1¾¢ to $9.76 a bushel. Soymeal was down 10¢ to $289.30 a short ton, and soy oil lost 0.37¢ to 41.91¢ a pound. On the Kansas City Board, December wheat futures declined 1½¢ to $5.68 a bushel, while futures were unchanged at $5.67¼ a bushel.Red Meat Output: A Year-on-Year Increase
Red meat production in the U.S. saw a significant year-on-year increase in October. Led by gains in beef and pork output, commercial red meat output rose 5% to 5.02 billion pounds. Beef production increased to 2.47 billion pounds, up 5% year over year, with cattle slaughter gaining 1% to 2.86 million head and average weight up 44 pounds to 1,418 pounds. Pork output rose 5% to 2.54 billion pounds as hog slaughter was up 4% from October 2023 to 11.9 million head, and average live weight was up 2 pounds to 287 pounds.However, veal production dropped 21% to 3.3 million pounds, and lamb and mutton output rose 4% to 11.7 million pounds. In the first 10 months of 2024, commercial red meat production rose 1% from the same timeframe a year earlier to 45.8 billion pounds, with beef output up narrowly and pork production up 2% year over year.Snow Forecast: Winter's Arrival in the North
Snow is expected in parts of eastern North Dakota and northern Minnesota this afternoon, with only a “dusting” forecast along the Canadian border. More snow is expected late tomorrow and will last through Monday, with the best chance for an inch or more along the northern U.S. border. Winter weather advisories have been issued for much of northern Montana as sleet and freezing rain are forecast to start this afternoon. Two to 4 inches of snow is expected with some areas receiving more, and a light glaze of ice is forecast due to the freezing rain. The NWS warns that a wintry mix of freezing rain/sleet and snow will make travel difficult at times through tonight, and by Saturday, the wintry mix becomes primarily sleet and snow.