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Investment Guru Bill Gross Warns of Economic Uncertainty and Recommends Defensive Stocks
2025-03-04

The renowned investor Bill Gross, often referred to as the "Bond King," has expressed deep concerns about the current state of global markets and the economy. He shared his fears about rising inflation, economic slowdowns due to tariffs, and geopolitical tensions. To mitigate these risks, Gross has recommended four defensive stocks that he believes can weather the storm.

Global Market Concerns Fuel Investor Anxiety

Gross has voiced his apprehension about waking up each morning to check the latest market news. The billionaire investor, who made his name through successful fixed-income investments, is particularly worried about the impact of tariffs on inflation and economic growth. He believes that these factors could lead to significant downside risks for high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stocks. Gross's concerns are not unfounded; economists have already adjusted their forecasts for US economic growth downward, anticipating a contraction in the coming quarter. This shift is largely attributed to the ongoing trade tensions and government spending cuts.

In a recent post on social media, Gross admitted to feeling frightened by the daily uncertainty in financial markets. He highlighted the potential dangers of tariffs leading to higher inflation and slower economic growth. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model now forecasts a 2.8% annualized contraction for this quarter, a stark contrast from its previous estimate of 2.3% growth. Gross emphasized that these economic challenges present significant risks, especially for companies with high valuations. He stressed the importance of adopting a defensive investment strategy in such uncertain times.

Defensive Stock Picks Amidst Economic Turmoil

To navigate the turbulent economic landscape, Gross has advised investors to focus on defensive stocks. These types of stocks are known for their stability and resilience during economic downturns. Gross specifically recommended tobacco and telecom companies, which offer reliable products and substantial dividends. Among his picks are Altria and British American Tobacco, two major players in the tobacco industry, along with AT&T and Verizon, leading telecommunications firms in the United States.

Tobacco and telecom stocks are considered defensive because they provide essential services and products that consumers tend to continue purchasing even during recessions. Additionally, these companies typically trade at lower valuations and offer attractive dividend yields, providing support for their stock prices. For instance, Altria has seen a 43% increase over the past year and offers a 7.1% dividend yield. Similarly, British American Tobacco has gained 35% over the same period with a 7.4% yield. AT&T has surged 61% and pays a 4% dividend, while Verizon has climbed 10% with a 6.2% yield. By focusing on these defensive sectors, investors can potentially safeguard their portfolios against broader market volatility.

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